Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 3.089131 3.508464 3.953303 4.459236 5.017558 5.613726 6.297282
2024-12-15 2.456061 3.062518 3.754791 4.598272 5.592675 6.722018 8.095597
2024-12-22 1.957514 2.658671 3.513653 4.620165 6.000306 7.650270 9.755749
2024-12-29 1.669886 2.445633 3.447412 4.812007 6.595532 8.818544 11.766038
2025-01-05 1.435472 2.253550 3.366529 4.953273 7.113553 9.904239 13.726145
2025-01-12 1.196473 2.011032 3.176693 4.912154 7.366783 10.643853 15.265757
2025-01-19 1.042920 1.864975 3.095902 4.999815 7.783204 11.605230 17.131236
2025-01-26 0.911860 1.730757 3.010948 5.063016 8.155844 12.513025 18.955384
2025-02-02 0.806075 1.619588 2.944167 5.139039 8.540917 13.446238 20.846480
2025-02-09 0.699703 1.489825 2.830152 5.125519 8.782040 14.174831 22.469457
2025-02-16 0.598598 1.352612 2.685912 5.045584 8.907499 14.729941 23.854663
2025-02-23 0.531877 1.268750 2.621407 5.086311 9.217320 15.565825 25.677064
2025-03-02 0.460944 1.167585 2.519012 5.060669 9.429678 16.281387 27.381006
2025-03-09 0.416437 1.113697 2.496936 5.171871 9.872774 17.375262 29.707641
2025-03-16 0.365024 1.035691 2.419715 5.176566 10.135417 18.195529 31.646222
2025-03-23 0.340398 1.014057 2.449667 5.378211 10.744446 19.593702 34.537798
2025-03-30 0.313237 0.981463 2.453211 5.528881 11.270706 20.876970 37.292000
2025-04-06 0.272168 0.906286 2.358845 5.481978 11.440473 21.577156 39.135402
2025-04-13 0.247314 0.868057 2.338541 5.577098 11.869198 22.723039 41.735702
2025-04-20 0.223296 0.827162 2.307120 5.645878 12.250787 23.801228 44.258129
2025-04-27 0.202808 0.791962 2.284146 5.728882 12.661189 24.941704 46.917629
2025-05-04 0.178841 0.740997 2.217728 5.714011 12.882440 25.759745 49.061362
2025-05-11 0.154043 0.681196 2.121906 5.626513 12.955654 26.316919 50.778081